The Dallas Cowboys will play the Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday, September 4th to start the 2025 NFL season. At this point, the Cowboys are somewhat of an enigma. Are they more of the roster that went 12-5 for three consecutive seasons, or the one that bottomed out in 2024 at 7-10?
As we have looked at some of the betting odds surrounding the Cowboys heading into the season, it seems the odds makers are not big believers in the Cowboys.
A few days ago we looked at the odds surrounding the Cowboys returning to the playoffs. Dallas was +194 in that category, putting them far down the list of teams expected to make the tournament. We noted at the time that the Cowboys playing in the NFC East was an issue because the division has Philadelphia and Washington who are expected to be two of the top teams in the NFC. This complicates the Cowboys path to the post-season, and was part of the reason for the low odds.
We followed that up by noting the Cowboys odds were slightly better to win the Super Bowl than their playoffs odds relative to other teams, and that seems to be a recognition that if they do make the playoffs, they would be a slightly better bet than some other teams that make the playoffs with an easier path. Dallas was +4500 to win the Super Bowl, which was pretty middle-of-the-pack for NFL teams.
If you look at the Cowboys in terms of win total, the inflection point is eight wins. If you bet the over on 7.5 wins, you get Dallas at a -120 payout. If you bet the over on 8.5 wins, the payout jumps to +140. That’s the area where the Cowboys start to be underdogs in terms of the odds. (Once again, here is a handy explanation of the odds payout.)
If the Cowboys are sitting around the eight-win mark, they likely aren’t making the playoffs. Right now, the oddsmakers don’t really believe in the Cowboys.
There are bets to be made that don’t involve the whole team. Dak Prescott as MVP comes in at +4000. That’s pretty far down on the list, behind players such as Baker Mayfield and Caleb Williams. Prescott is tied for second with Christian McCaffrey in the Comeback Player of the Year category at +300, behind only Aidan Hutchinson at +270.
On the other hand, even with all the problems surrounding his contract, Micah Parsons is the odds-on favorite to win the Defensive Player of the Year award at +600.
There are many other prop bets/player milestones to bet on, but another category is Division Winners. We’ve already spoken about this a little bit in terms of how tough the NFC East is right now. The Cowboys are +550 to win the division. Tomorrow, we’ll dive a little more into that whole scenario.
FanDuel Sportsbook is conducting FanDuel Futures Day on Tuesday, August 26 where you can get profit boost tokens around various futures markets throughout the day. The markets will be split up throughout the day, but they will include odds to win the Super Bowl and hypothetical Super Bowl matchups, odds to make or miss the playoffs, win totals, division winners, and player milestones. Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook on Tuesday to take advantage of FanDuel Futures Day.
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